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Charlie
07-19-2008, 03:14 PM
the long range lookout for next week

Wednesday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79.

Bill O
07-19-2008, 04:19 PM
That's a good forecast to have 6 days out since the accuracy at that range is so poor.

Brad
07-19-2008, 04:37 PM
Charlie, if you do not like that forecast, go to another web site and that one might be better.

Here is one for Bridgton, Maine (just around the corner).

Details for Saturday, July 26
Partly cloudy. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the upper 50s

bclark
07-19-2008, 04:41 PM
Where are you getting that forecast from Charlie? And is it for Mount Washington?

The long range models that I am looking at are showing high pressure in control over the northeast for the latter half of next week, including Saturday. As Bill alluded to, things can change quickly that far out, but as of right now, what I am seeing is looking good.

Brad
07-19-2008, 04:44 PM
I nominate Brian as head of the STP Weather Committee. I like his forecasts.

Do we have a second?

second

All in favor say argh.

Steve M
07-19-2008, 05:02 PM
You know I love Brian's forecast. Actually, I'm looking for a mixed bag of weather. I am hoping for a nice weekend for all the STP'ers, but I want some thunderstorms and high winds as well. I can't help it, I want it all!:D

Charlie
07-19-2008, 06:41 PM
i got it here

i know it is far out and we dont trust our local weather forecasters her in pa :rolleyes:

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=GYX&llon=-71.537083&rlon=-70.892083&tlat=44.422917&blat=43.780417&smap=1&mp=0&map.x=160&map.y=145

Charlie
07-19-2008, 06:42 PM
can we have temps not above 75* and a dew point less then 55%

thanks

Bill O
07-19-2008, 07:22 PM
can we have temps not above 75* and a dew point less then 55%

thanks

I'll go ahead and guarantee the summit won't be above 75F.

Brad
07-19-2008, 08:16 PM
I will say it will not be above 72.

Steve M
07-19-2008, 08:39 PM
It will be nice to take a break from the heat down here for a while.

Charlie
07-19-2008, 09:06 PM
I'll go ahead and guarantee the summit won't be above 75F.

how about down in the valley :eek:

Brad
07-19-2008, 09:41 PM
how about down in the valley :eek:
Don't worry about the valley. You will not spend much time there before you run up Tuckermans.

Steve M
07-20-2008, 05:42 AM
how about down in the valley :eek:
The valley is actually North Conway. When you drive out Rt. 16 you are heading into the mountains thus gaining elevation. By the time you get to PNVC you are at 2000' above sea level so it will be cooler there than in the valley. :)

Charlie
07-20-2008, 07:07 AM
Don't worry about the valley. You will not spend much time there before you run up Tuckermans.

:eek::eek::eek::eek:
say what


The valley is actually North Conway. When you drive out Rt. 16 you are heading into the mountains thus gaining elevation. By the time you get to PNVC you are at 2000' above sea level so it will be cooler there than in the valley. :)

boy o boy now that you put it that way :D

Brad
07-20-2008, 07:48 AM
Charlie,

Here is what STP 2007 looked like for the day.

http://images27.fotki.com/v968/photos/1/1002902/4159838/20070728_190722_conditions-vi.jpg

At noon the temperatures up the Auto Road at different elevations is listed at the right in this one.

http://images26.fotki.com/v942/photos/1/1002902/4159838/20070728_120723_conditions-vi.jpg

Summit visibility at noon was 10 miles and it went down to zero by dinner.

Bill O
07-20-2008, 12:49 PM
Do we have short memories?

Remember the forecast last year? Even the short-term, 6 hour forecast, was a complete bust.

Brad
07-20-2008, 01:41 PM
The words on the images above say - showers and we got a few. Not many. I am sure there were thunderstorms around and someone got them. Turned into a better day than forecast.

Steve M
07-20-2008, 03:13 PM
The words on the images above say - showers and we got a few. Not many. I am sure there were thunderstorms around and someone got them. Turned into a better day than forecast.

When we were above LOC last year for STP we were in the clouds for most of the time with winds between 20 and 25 mph. but we had no rain. The summit stayed in the clods for most of the afternoon then began to break up after 6.

Brad
07-20-2008, 06:19 PM
The summit stayed in the clods for most of the afternoon then began to break up after 6.
Yup - and I was one of the clods hanging around up there.

Charlie
07-20-2008, 06:40 PM
ok i will take the same temps as last year but when we get to the top a 100 mile view would be nice

Steve M
07-20-2008, 06:48 PM
That will remain to be seen but I would say your chances are better the earlier you get up there.

Brad
07-20-2008, 06:54 PM
That will remain to be seen but I would say your chances are better the earlier you get up there.
Which means - the faster Charlie goes.

Charlie
07-23-2008, 08:05 PM
Where are you getting that forecast from Charlie? And is it for Mount Washington?

The long range models that I am looking at are showing high pressure in control over the northeast for the latter half of next week, including Saturday. As Bill alluded to, things can change quickly that far out, but as of right now, what I am seeing is looking good.

Brian are you going to be around this weekend i would like to say hi to you

Steve M
07-24-2008, 08:06 AM
Brian are you going to be around this weekend i would like to say hi to you

Charlie, this is Brians week off but he may or may not be around for STP. I have been told by Mike F that he didn't mention anything about being a part of it.

Knapper
07-24-2008, 08:38 AM
Brian are you going to be around this weekend i would like to say hi to you

Brian is in Pennsylvania this week off so he will not be making it to the event this year. In fact, if you make it to the peak and the after dinner, you will be able to meet every observer but Brian. So four of the current five observers will be available to meet and greet you. Sorry.