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View Full Version : December Contest: Total Minutes of Sunshine for the Month



whitemtnvisitor
11-21-2012, 02:21 PM
I had an idea & decided to step in for tdb 1977 with a December contest. The contest will be to guess what the total number of minutes of sunshine will be for the month of December. The person to guess the closest without going over will be the winner. Looking forward to your next contest in January tdb 1977.

1. All answers must be in whole integers
2. One submission per forum ID
3. There can be no duplicates. First person to submit a particular number will own that guess.
4. If the proper answer is not selected by anyone, the winner will be the closest guess, without going over, according to the F6 report.
5. Any attempt to alter the summit sunshine timeframe will be an automatic disqualification.
6. All guesses must be submitted here on this forum by the end of November 30th.
7. The official source of data is the Daily F6 as published on the Observatory's web site.
8. Anyone & everyone will be allowed to enter.
9. Most of all... Have Fun!!!

Bill O
11-21-2012, 02:34 PM
I think people will need a little help with this one.

First, this measurement is totally subjective...it's just an estimate. There is no machine measuring sunshine minutes. Just an observer making estimates on his fingers during the night shift. It's a very silly data point.

Second, according to the F6 the most there could be is 16,968. If you guess more than this you will lose. If you guess anywhere even close to that then you need a lesson in Mount Washington weather. Last year there was 5,755. Check the F-6 data posted on the main site for prior years.

With that said, my guess is 4,242. Seven years of bad luck if anybody else guesses within a few minutes of me.

Snow Miser
11-21-2012, 02:44 PM
My guess is 4,396. Good idea for a contest whitemtnvisitor!

Bill O
11-21-2012, 03:03 PM
4. ... the winner will be the closest guess, without going over, according to the F6 report.


What's the logic of this? Those are "Price Is Right" rules.

For example, the end result is 3,000 minutes. There are two guesses in the competition because this forum is as dead as a doorknob and they are 1 minute and 3,005 minutes. The person who guesses 1 minute wins?

whitemtnvisitor
11-21-2012, 03:45 PM
If you don't like it... Don't participate...

CHRIS
11-21-2012, 04:55 PM
My guess will be. 4227. Let the game begin .. well pretty soon anyways :)

KathyC
11-21-2012, 06:06 PM
I'll pick a nice even number, 4300.

So glad that I'll be in this contest since I missed the last one. :)

Bill O
11-21-2012, 08:33 PM
If you don't like it... Don't participate...

No, I'm just wondering what the logic is to this rule?

whitemtnvisitor
11-21-2012, 09:55 PM
No, I'm just wondering what the logic is to this rule?

Many of these previous contests have used this rule. I think the people who participate in these contests are in it for fun, & are not trying to win on a crazy technicality, like an entry of 1 minute. I think that everyone who enters, is more in tune with trying to come up with an educated answer, or even a wild, but realistic guess to the contest questions.

whitemtnvisitor
11-21-2012, 10:03 PM
Early Entries

Bill O - 4,242
Snow Miser - 4,396
Chris - 4,227
KathyC - 4,300

Bill O
11-22-2012, 01:55 PM
Many of these previous contests have used this rule. I think the people who participate in these contests are in it for fun, & are not trying to win on a crazy technicality, like an entry of 1 minute. I think that everyone who enters, is more in tune with trying to come up with an educated answer, or even a wild, but realistic guess to the contest questions.

Got it. This contest is growing on me.

tdb1977
11-23-2012, 03:29 AM
Great contest idea! I'm going to go with 4308 as that is the average for the last 7 years, so that seems like a good number to go with.

whitemtnvisitor
11-23-2012, 09:13 AM
Great contest idea! I'm going to go with 4308 as that is the average for the last 7 years, so that seems like a good number to go with.

I like your thinking... I did the average calculation as well.

sdways01
11-23-2012, 09:46 AM
I'm going with a guess of 4076

whitemtnvisitor
11-23-2012, 04:57 PM
Bill O - 4,242
Snow Miser - 4,396
Chris - 4,227
KathyC - 4,300
tdb1977 - 4,308
sdways01 - 4,076

Moa57
11-24-2012, 08:47 AM
My guess is 3,905

Charlie
11-24-2012, 12:36 PM
4,002 for me

tdb1977
11-24-2012, 07:59 PM
whitemtnvisitor,

Thank you so much for getting this contest going for the month of December! It is great to see these contests are continuing on.

whitemtnvisitor
11-25-2012, 04:42 PM
Bill O - 4,242
Snow Miser - 4,396
Chris - 4,227
KathyC - 4,300
tdb1977 - 4,308
sdways01 - 4,076
Moa57 - 3,905
Charlie - 4,002

Anna LeBlanc
11-26-2012, 08:22 AM
I'll be optimistic and say 4,555 :rolleyes:

____________
Anna

BAXTERCA2
11-26-2012, 10:31 AM
If you don't like it... Don't participate...

WOW!! kind of harsh Whitemtnvisitor......
Friendly Forum enviroment..... please

whitemtnvisitor
11-27-2012, 08:05 AM
Only a few days left to get your guesses in...

Bill O - 4,242
Snow Miser - 4,396
Chris - 4,227
KathyC - 4,300
tdb1977 - 4,308
sdways01 - 4,076
Moa57 - 3,905
Charlie - 4,002
Anna LeBlanc - 4,555
whitemtnvisitor - 4,279

whitemtnvisitor
12-01-2012, 12:14 PM
The field is set... May the sun shine on your guesses.

Bill O - 4,242
Snow Miser - 4,396
Chris - 4,227
KathyC - 4,300
tdb1977 - 4,308
sdways01 - 4,076
Moa57 - 3,905
Charlie - 4,002
Anna LeBlanc - 4,555
whitemtnvisitor - 4,279

whitemtnvisitor
12-16-2012, 08:29 AM
Well, we are halfway through the month already. Time flies... The last four days have brought quite a bit of sunshine to the rockpile, which added to the monthly total rather quickly. It seems that the next four days will be without clear skies, so that will put the brakes on the total for most of this week . If the pace of clear skies keeps up with the first half of the month, Anna may cruise into this very easily. However, it is Mt Washington, & we all know that the weather may keep us guessing as to what will happen until the very last minute.

whitemtnvisitor
12-27-2012, 12:54 PM
Lots of sunshine yesterday which brought us into the range of guesses.
We've lost a few, while we stand at 4170 on the 26th...

Moa57 - 3,905
Charlie - 4,002
sdways01 - 4,076

Still in it...

Chris - 4,227
Bill O - 4,242
whitemtnvisitor - 4,279
KathyC - 4,300
tdb1977 - 4,308
Snow Miser - 4,396
Anna LeBlanc - 4,555

whitemtnvisitor
12-29-2012, 10:13 AM
I can declare Anna as the official winner. The 28th brought enough sunshine to the summit to push by all of us except Anna. We are already at 4459 minutes of sunshines with a few days to go. Depending on what happens on Monday, Anna may have a very precise prediction!! Congrats Anna!! Thank you for entering!!

Snow Miser
12-29-2012, 10:55 AM
Congratulations Anna! You are now Miss Sunshine! :)

Bill O
12-30-2012, 09:19 PM
Impressive, considering the summit had an above average snowfall month as well.

whitemtnvisitor
01-01-2013, 10:40 AM
Sorry Everyone.... I goofed big time. I declared Anna the winner on the 28th, even though I knew technically, she wasn't quite there. I thought with the high pressure predicted, she would easily cruise through the 96 minutes of sunshine she needed over a 3 day period to an easy victory.
We only received 15 minutes of sun during those 3 days, which left her prediction of 4,555 higher than the monthly total.
Like many others, I just got bit by the Mount Washington weather...
According to rule #4, Snow Miser takes the win with a guess of 4,396. See rule #4 on the next line.
4. If the proper answer is not selected by anyone, the winner will be the closest guess, without going over, according to the F6 report.
I never took the weather for granted when I've been hiking, but I guess it was too easy to do so while sitting behind a keyboard.
Sorry Again!!! I just learned a valuable lesson!!

Snow Miser
01-01-2013, 08:03 PM
Not a problem whitemtnvisitor! :) Weather in The Whites is so unpredictable isn't it.

And Geez, I can't believe I won another one. Pretty soon folks are going to think I'm collaborating with my mother to get these numbers. LOL :D

I'll take the win, but Anna is still Miss Sunshine! :)

Anna LeBlanc
01-03-2013, 12:53 PM
Not a problem whitemtnvisitor! :) Weather in The Whites is so unpredictable isn't it.

And Geez, I can't believe I won another one. Pretty soon folks are going to think I'm collaborating with my mother to get these numbers. LOL :D

I'll take the win, but Anna is still Miss Sunshine! :)

Thank you Bob! :o Congratulations on your win!!!! :D

_______________
Anna

BAXTERCA2
01-03-2013, 05:38 PM
Pretty soon folks are going to think I'm collaborating with my mother to get these numbers. LOL :D


HAHA!! Your Mother, that's funny Miser