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A "Winter Storm Warning" has been posted for southern Maine counties at 4:34 AM today. My wife has changed her driving plans to leave NC today so she will be home in Maine Sunday morning before this hits.
...A POTENTIAL MAJOR COASTAL STORM MAY AFFECT THE ENTIRE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
LATEST INDICATIONS ARE SHOWING A GROWING POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR NOREASTER TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG OR OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY AND THEN STALL OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
IF THIS OCCURS THE POTENTIAL FOR COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR RAIN EXIST. VERY STRONG WINDS WOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM.
ALONG THE COAST COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION MAY OCCUR DUE TO THE POTENTIAL COMBINATION OF STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MARINERS SHOULD ALSO TAKE NOTE AND BE PREPARED TO HEAD TO PORT AND TAKE THE APPROPRIATE PRECAUTIONS.
THIS IS A STORM THAT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED VERY CLOSELY DUE TO ITS POTENTIAL SIZE AND INTENSITY. ALL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST STATEMENTS ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION SINCE IT IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY.
Accuweather's Blog has this post this morning.
Update on the Big Daddy
Thursday, April 12, 2007
THIS IS THE TYPE OF STORM THAT BOMBS OUT ALONG THE COAST, BUT INSTEAD OF GOING OUT TO SEA, IT LOOPS AROUND, AND THAT'S WHY IT'S A BIG DADDY...
For many young meteorologists, this could be a storm that is talked about for many years. As I mentioned above, it's the type of storm that comes up the coast, stops, loops around, then heads out to sea. Where that occurs will dictate who gets a lot of snow. The trend of the models this afternoon is to take the storm farther north into southern New England and make that loop over New England before heading it out to sea. Keep in mind, we have 3 days and 12 runs of the computer models before the storm hits the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, so we are going go through the normal cha-cha of storm positions. So let me put things in perspective on what can happen with the storm...
1. Snow breaks out along the front range of the Rockies tonight and continues into Friday. Most places get about 6 inches of snow with a few places having near blizzard conditions and over a foot of snow.
2. The snow moves into western Kansas Friday and then pencils out across eastern Kansas and northern Missouri.
3. Severe Weather develops in Texas and moves east with time. A major outbreak of severe weather occurs across Arkansas, Louisiana and eastern Texas tomorrow with the potential for tornadoes.
4. Squall line continues across the South Saturday with wind damage, hail and tornadoes. Over 500 reports of severe weather may occur over the 3-day period.
5. Snow develops from eastern Tennessee through West Virginia into western and central Pa. Saturday into Sunday. Storm moves to the coast by Sunday morning and the deepening process begins.
6. Heavy snow develops from western Maryland into central and NE Pa. Snow rates of 1-2 inches per hour is possible.
7. WInds along the coastal areas from Virginia Beach Long Island pick up and start gusting over 30 mph while heavy rains develop along the I-95 corridor.
8. Severe storms move across northern Florida and the eastern Carolinas early in the day.
9. Sunday night, tropical-storm-force winds buffet areas from the Jersey Shore to Boston. The major cities from Philly to New York City have gusts up to 40 mph with heavy rain and thunderstorms.
10. Heavy snows shift into New York, but continue back into Pa. This is where things get tricky and the storm then either sits and spins near the Jersey coast or goes north into New England. In either case, someone will get over two feet of snow as shown on the map.
04-13-2007, 06:10 AM
Stay safe Brad. It's also a good idea your wife is heading home before we get this storm.
I've had enough already! Let's bring on some nice weather.
This is the first big snow storm in Maine this winter I have missed. Each of the others I happened to be in Maine for the storms. This one will be a great opportunity to take pictures and get outside to hike. So, I will watch it on the web cameras instead.
We wanted the storm that is wrapping up to do a final test of our driveway heat system changes before the winter wound down. No matter how good it is, it will struggle to keep up with the weekend storm coming up.
A snow plow just went by on the road at the house in Maine and cars are heading out to work. They have things cleared out already.
04-13-2007, 02:39 PM
"1. Snow breaks out along the front range of the Rockies tonight and continues into Friday. Most places get about 6 inches of snow with a few places having near blizzard conditions and over a foot of snow." From Brad
Here in Colorado, the front range has been missed, at least the Denver Metro area. The storm was reportedly hijacked by the jetstream and tracked a bit further South. A bit of a disappointment for some, particularly since it is supposed to warm up to the high 50's on Saturday with clear skies, which would make short work of even the 6-12" of snow that was forecast. Now we are only getting some light flurries that aren't even accumulating at all.
At least the mountains got some more added onto the snowpack for this summers consumption.
04-13-2007, 03:33 PM
The forecast for southern NH is wind driven rain. Further north around North Conway and Fryeburg the forecast is for a wind driven mix of rain and snow. I expect the higher elevations will get snow, remains to be seen.
04-13-2007, 03:56 PM
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