Is there anymore data on the latest forecast verification project? It looks interesting.
I could swear we talked about this in the past but why is the 24 hour forecast better than the 12 hour? It defies most of the logic behind atmospheric modeling and forecasting.
Is it the weather models or bad human interpretation or both?
If you know nothing about the weather you could make surprisingly excellent 12 hour forecasts by using the persistence method. That is, forecasting the weather in 12 hours to be exactly the same as it is right now. In San Diego you could make a living off that forecast. But maybe that theory falls apart on Mount Washington.