I am not prepared enough to forecast out that far but so far the models are keeping the tropical air mass in place which means it won't take much for the threat of showers and thunderstorms to move their way into the forecast language similar to what has been the entire month of July more or less. I will keep people posted if this a thread of interest. If not, I will start putting the STP forecast in the discussion starting Thursday morning when I am back on the summit even though it is outside of the 36 hour window.
But if you are going to use a purely numerical forecasting model like accuweather produces, at least use the summit forecast: http://www.accuweather.com/us/nh/mt....cast-month.asp The link BanjoChris linked to is for Mt Washington, NH but that numerical model is more inline and interpreted using elevations closer to the base and not the summit. You can also keep an eye on NWS Gray, ME who is a bit more accurate for long term forecasting because there is at least some minimal human adjustments on the numbers: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...6&lon=-71.3047
But looking at all the models, if everything holds as is, my prediction that I made last month of us beating or tying the summits all time record high of 72F (from the past 78 yrs of our existence) is looking very realistic. Lets hope this isn't true and things adjust lower, mainly so I don't have to deal with the paper work with NCDC
Staff Meteorologist/Night Observer, KMWN (Mt Washington Obs., NH)